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forecast-premortem

Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

lyndonkl
maintainer
lyndonkl
آخر تحديث 12/16/2025
النجوم
11
التفرعات
2
quick start

Installation and usage

Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

التثبيت
$ install --globalskills.sh
الاستخدام

بعد التثبيت، يمكنك استخدام هذه المهارة بتشغيل الأمر التالي في الطرفية:

skills use forecast-premortem