Context and working knowledge for Calci’s prediction-market domain, which is powered by Kalshi. Use this skill whenever the user asks about Calci prediction markets, Kalshi markets, tickers, order books, pricing, settlement, or the Kalshi API/WebSocket.
Polymarket-specific terminology, trading strategies, and API reference.
Systematic research protocol for discovering novel AI-native software businesses in the synthetic workforce era. Maps capability trajectories, analyzes segment-problem spaces, generates business models, and calculates inevitability scores across 3-24 month time horizons. Use when exploring AI business opportunities, conducting market research, or identifying automation-native ventures.
Analyzes technical systems and problems through engineering lens using first principles, systems thinking, design methodologies, and optimization frameworks. Provides insights on feasibility, performance, reliability, scalability, and trade-offs. Use when: System design, technical feasibility, optimization, failure analysis, performance issues. Evaluates: Requirements, constraints, trade-offs, efficiency, robustness, maintainability.
Analyzes urban development through planning lens using zoning, land use, comprehensive planning, and transit-oriented development frameworks. Provides insights on spatial organization, infrastructure, sustainability, and livability. Use when: Urban development projects, zoning decisions, transportation planning, sustainability initiatives. Evaluates: Land use patterns, density, accessibility, environmental impact, community needs.
Analyzes disease patterns and health events through epidemiological lens using surveillance systems, outbreak investigation methods, and disease modeling frameworks. Provides insights on disease spread, risk factors, prevention strategies, and public health interventions. Use when: Disease outbreaks, health policy evaluation, risk assessment, intervention planning. Evaluates: Transmission dynamics, risk factors, causality, population health impact, intervention effectiveness.
Analyzes events through futures lens using scenario planning, trend analysis, weak signals, drivers of change, and forecasting methods (exploratory, normative, backcasting). Provides insights on possible futures, emerging trends, disruptive forces, strategic foresight, and alternative scenarios. Use when: Strategic planning, emerging trends, technology assessment, long-term planning, uncertainty navigation. Evaluates: Trends, weak signals, drivers of change, plausible futures, strategic options, uncertainty ranges.
Analyzes events through cybersecurity lens using threat modeling, attack surface analysis, defense-in-depth, zero-trust architecture, and risk-based frameworks (CIA triad, STRIDE, MITRE ATT&CK). Provides insights on vulnerabilities, attack vectors, defense strategies, incident response, and security posture. Use when: Security incidents, vulnerability assessments, threat analysis, security architecture, compliance. Evaluates: Confidentiality, integrity, availability, threat actors, attack patterns, controls, residual risk.
Analyzes events through economic lens using supply/demand, incentive structures, market dynamics, and multiple schools of economic thought (Classical, Keynesian, Austrian, Behavioral). Provides insights on market impacts, resource allocation, policy implications, and distributional effects. Use when: Economic events, policy changes, market shifts, financial crises, regulatory decisions. Evaluates: Incentives, efficiency, opportunity costs, market failures, systemic risks.
Analyzes events through computer science lens using computational complexity, algorithms, data structures, systems architecture, information theory, and software engineering principles to evaluate feasibility, scalability, security. Provides insights on algorithmic efficiency, system design, computational limits, data management, and technical trade-offs. Use when: Technology evaluation, system architecture, algorithm design, scalability analysis, security assessment. Evaluates: Computational complexity, algorithmic efficiency, system architecture, scalability, data integrity, security.
Expert fintech engineer specializing in financial systems, regulatory compliance, and secure transaction processing. Masters banking integrations, payment systems, and building scalable financial technology that meets stringent regulatory requirements.
Expert security auditor specializing in comprehensive security assessments, compliance validation, and risk management. Masters security frameworks, audit methodologies, and compliance standards with focus on identifying vulnerabilities and ensuring regulatory adherence.
Expert quantitative analyst specializing in financial modeling, algorithmic trading, and risk analytics. Masters statistical methods, derivatives pricing, and high-frequency trading with focus on mathematical rigor, performance optimization, and profitable strategy development.
Activate when conducting security analysis using STRIDE threat modeling, vulnerability assessment, and security architecture evaluation
Expert risk manager specializing in comprehensive risk assessment, mitigation strategies, and compliance frameworks. Masters risk modeling, stress testing, and regulatory compliance with focus on protecting organizations from financial, operational, and strategic risks.
Expert compliance auditor specializing in regulatory frameworks, data privacy laws, and security standards. Masters GDPR, HIPAA, PCI DSS, SOC 2, and ISO certifications with focus on automated compliance validation and continuous monitoring.
Consulte les armes, armures et équipement BFRPG. Dégâts, CA, coût, propriétés. Utilisez pour vérifier l'équipement des personnages.
Threat modeling methodologies (STRIDE, DREAD), attack trees, threat modeling as code, and integration with SDLC for proactive security design
Use when making predictions or judgments under uncertainty and need to explicitly update beliefs with new evidence. Invoke when forecasting outcomes, evaluating probabilities, testing hypotheses, calibrating confidence, assessing risks with uncertain data, or avoiding overconfidence bias. Use when user mentions priors, likelihoods, Bayes theorem, probability updates, forecasting, calibration, or belief revision.
Use when making decisions under uncertainty with quantifiable outcomes, comparing risky options (investments, product bets, strategic choices), prioritizing projects by expected return, assessing whether to take a gamble, or when user mentions expected value, EV calculation, risk-adjusted return, probability-weighted outcomes, decision tree, or needs to choose between uncertain alternatives.
Use when comparing multiple named alternatives across several criteria, need transparent trade-off analysis, making group decisions requiring alignment, choosing between vendors/tools/strategies, stakeholders need to see decision rationale, balancing competing priorities (cost vs quality vs speed), user mentions "which option should we choose", "compare alternatives", "evaluate vendors", "trade-offs", or when decision needs to be defensible and data-driven.
Wardley Mapping for strategic positioning and situational awareness. Covers value chain mapping, evolution stages, landscape analysis, gameplay patterns, and strategic decision-making. Use for technology strategy, competitive analysis, and architectural investment decisions.
Use when decisions could affect groups differently and need to anticipate harms/benefits, assess fairness and safety concerns, identify vulnerable populations, propose risk mitigations, define monitoring metrics, or when user mentions ethical review, impact assessment, differential harm, safety analysis, vulnerable groups, bias audit, or responsible AI/tech.
Use to convert probabilities into decisions (bet/pass/hedge) and optimize scoring. Invoke when need to calculate edge, size bets optimally (Kelly Criterion), extremize aggregated forecasts, or improve Brier scores. Use when user mentions betting strategy, Kelly, edge calculation, Brier score, extremizing, or translating belief into action.
