home/categories/project-management/agentydragon-ducktape-nix-home-claude-code-skills-superforecaster-skill-md
project-managementbusiness
superforecaster
Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.
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agentydragon
Updated 1/20/2026
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quick start
Installation and usage
Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.
Installation
$ install --globalskills.sh
Usage
Once installed, you can use this skill by running the following command in your terminal:
skills use superforecaster