project-managementbusiness
forecast-premortem
Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.
maintainer
lyndonkl
Updated 12/16/2025
Stars
11
Forks
2
quick start
Installation and usage
Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.
Installation
$ install --globalskills.sh
Usage
Once installed, you can use this skill by running the following command in your terminal:
skills use forecast-premortem