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forecast-premortem

Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

lyndonkl
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lyndonkl
Mis à jour 12/16/2025
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quick start

Installation and usage

Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.

Installation
$ install --globalskills.sh
Utilisation

Après l'installation, vous pouvez utiliser ce skill en exécutant la commande suivante dans votre terminal :

skills use forecast-premortem