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superforecaster

Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.

agentydragon
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agentydragon
์—…๋ฐ์ดํŠธ๋จ 1/20/2026
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quick start

Installation and usage

Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.

์„ค์น˜
$ install --globalskills.sh
์‚ฌ์šฉ๋ฒ•

์„ค์น˜ ํ›„ ํ„ฐ๋ฏธ๋„์—์„œ ๋‹ค์Œ ๋ช…๋ น์„ ์‹คํ–‰ํ•˜์—ฌ ์ด ์Šคํ‚ฌ์„ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:

skills use superforecaster