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superforecaster

Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.

agentydragon
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agentydragon
업데이트됨 1/20/2026
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quick start

Installation and usage

Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.

설치
$ install --globalskills.sh
사용법

설치 후 터미널에서 다음 명령을 실행하여 이 스킬을 사용할 수 있습니다:

skills use superforecaster