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superforecaster
Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.
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agentydragon
更新于 1/20/2026
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quick start
Installation and usage
Make well-calibrated probability estimates using superforecasting methodology. Use when user asks about probability, likelihood, chance, odds, "will X happen", "when will X happen", "how much will X cost", "what could go wrong", failure modes, risk assessment, forecasting, or any question involving uncertainty and estimation.
安装
$ install --globalskills.sh
使用
安装后，您可以通过在终端运行以下命令来使用此技能：
skills use superforecaster