project-managementbusiness
forecast-premortem
Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.
maintainer
lyndonkl
更新於 12/16/2025
星標
11
分支
2
quick start
Installation and usage
Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.
安裝
$ install --globalskills.sh
使用
安裝後，您可以透過在終端機執行以下指令來使用此技能：
skills use forecast-premortem